Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.188835 0.218937 0.252300 0.292025 0.338050 0.389714 0.452141
2025-06-22 0.136641 0.175467 0.223054 0.285703 0.366089 0.465888 0.599416
2025-06-29 0.110030 0.151572 0.206136 0.283113 0.389081 0.530106 0.732558
2025-07-06 0.093470 0.136349 0.195936 0.284887 0.414582 0.597270 0.875100
2025-07-13 0.084566 0.129640 0.195418 0.298547 0.456614 0.690529 1.064568
2025-07-20 0.076579 0.122722 0.193070 0.308311 0.493013 0.778692 1.256515
2025-07-27 0.069885 0.116623 0.190775 0.317218 0.528317 0.868278 1.460774
2025-08-03 0.063081 0.109281 0.185330 0.319904 0.553228 0.943283 1.649492
2025-08-10 0.056216 0.100845 0.176879 0.316165 0.566327 0.999387 1.811897
2025-08-17 0.049352 0.091483 0.165616 0.305912 0.566388 1.032357 1.936440
2025-08-24 0.046038 0.088051 0.164293 0.313133 0.598370 1.124899 2.179788
2025-08-31 0.042327 0.083397 0.160141 0.314456 0.619237 1.198893 2.396241
2025-09-07 0.039455 0.080084 0.158263 0.320184 0.649786 1.295676 2.671315
2025-09-14 0.035449 0.074054 0.150474 0.313353 0.654745 1.343401 2.854317
2025-09-21 0.032351 0.069481 0.145014 0.310509 0.667289 1.407359 3.078220
2025-09-28 0.030064 0.066321 0.142048 0.312456 0.689973 1.494491 3.361885
2025-10-05 0.029157 0.066017 0.145009 0.327446 0.742490 1.650573 3.816101
2025-10-12 0.027938 0.064870 0.146004 0.338162 0.786687 1.793334 4.257530
2025-10-19 0.026730 0.063601 0.146573 0.347936 0.829812 1.938372 4.721884
2025-10-26 0.025126 0.061213 0.144335 0.350885 0.857249 2.050375 5.120921
2025-11-02 0.023196 0.057820 0.139390 0.346781 0.867240 2.122376 5.430598
2025-11-09 0.021009 0.053542 0.131882 0.335529 0.858318 2.147778 5.626174
2025-11-16 0.020143 0.052476 0.132036 0.343453 0.898526 2.298499 6.162809